Beat The Bookie

Imagine setting your own line when you bet $100 that the Packers will beat the Saints on opening day. Imagine if you were in possession of a mathematical formula that handicaps risk more accurately than the Las Vegas odds makers. Imagine a formula that takes all the pertinent game day variables and statistically weights their impact on the potential outcome of the game. Finally, for the first time in your sports betting life, you have the edge, not the bookie. Imagine the money you could make. What would you pay for such a magical handicapping tool?

Back at the Office

 Such a magical handicapping tool is not imaginary but is available for you to use right here on this website - Free. The Project Selection Tool is a revolutionary handicapping method that reduces the risk of project failure by risk-scoring potential construction projects and guiding contractors away from projects too risky for their company to complete on time and on budget. That’s right. You can manage your company just like a Vegas sports book and Vegas sports books always win.

How Do the Odds Makers Do It?

Las Vegas sports books collect millions of dollars weekly from sports bettors who can't beat the odds. Ask yourself this question: Do I win most of the bets I place on sporting events? The answer will, of course, be no because you are betting against an odds maker who has scientifically weighted the risk variables and set the odds so that your chances of success are never greater than 50/50. You, then, bet with your gut feel or emotional bias (your college alma-mater or local team or favorite team since childhood) thereby randomly altering the odds either against yourself or in your favor. Chances of consistent success are greatly reduced.

When Betting Sports 

When pondering your next NFL wager, do what the odds makers do and consider all the factors, both positive and negative, that could cause your team to either win or lose.

  • Consider your quarterback's recent performance. What are his stats compared to the opposing quarterback's?
  • What key players on your team have been injured?
  • How does your offense match up against the opposition's defense?

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About the Author

Thomas C. Schleifer PhD

Thomas C. Schleifer, PhD, is a turnaround expert and former professor at Arizona State University. He serves as a consultant to sureties and contractors and can be contacted via his blog at simplarfoundation.org/blog.

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